{"id":8689,"date":"2019-12-17T17:23:20","date_gmt":"2019-12-17T17:23:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/?p=8689"},"modified":"2020-12-16T07:43:01","modified_gmt":"2020-12-16T07:43:01","slug":"okar-eller-minskar-var-europeiska-al","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/?p=8689","title":{"rendered":"\u00d6kar eller minskar v\u00e5r Europeiska \u00e5l?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2019-12-17 P\u00e5 senaste tiden f\u00f6rekommer rapporter om att \u00e5len \u00f6kar och det \u00e4r ju gl\u00e4djande. Men hur st\u00e5r det till med \u00e5len egentligen? Uppskattningar \u00e4r sv\u00e5ra eftersom \u00e5len \u00e4r spridd i hela Europa och leker i Sargassohavet.<\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p>ICES (I<em>nternational Council for the Exploration of the Sea<\/em>) \u00e4r en internationell organisation med \u00f6ver 4000 vetenskapsm\u00e4n som ansvarar f\u00f6r kontroll och r\u00e5dgivning av havets resurser. L\u00e4s mer om ICES r\u00e5d f\u00f6r \u00e5len <a href=\"http:\/\/ices.dk\/sites\/pub\/Publication%20Reports\/Advice\/2019\/2019\/ele.2737.nea.pdf\">h\u00e4r.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"470\" src=\"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Glass-eel-recruitment-1024x470.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-8691\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Glass-eel-recruitment-1024x470.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Glass-eel-recruitment-300x138.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Glass-eel-recruitment-768x353.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/12\/Glass-eel-recruitment.jpg 2024w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>Samma glas\u00e5linvandring redovisad numeriskt (ICES till v\u00e4nster) eller logaritmiskt (SLU till h\u00f6ger)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Sveriges \u00e5lf\u00f6rvaltningsplan har utarbetats av svenska experter p\u00e5 SLU (Statens Lantbruksuniversitet). De har nu i december skrivit en artikel i Havsutsikt (L\u00e4s artiklen <a href=\"https:\/\/www.havet.nu\/havsutsikt\/artikel\/skyddar-vi-alen-tillrackligt-bra\">h\u00e4r<\/a>). De beskriver att vi har en lyckad \u00e5lf\u00f6rvaltning som lett till att \u00e5lbest\u00e5ndet \u00f6kar. Antagandet bygger p\u00e5 samma statistik som ICES redovisar. N\u00e4mligen att invandringen av glas\u00e5l till Nordsj\u00f6l\u00e4nderna 2019 endast var 1,4% av vad den var p\u00e5 1960 och 1970-talet. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>F\u00f6r att bevisa \u00f6kningen g\u00f6r de svenska forskarna  en logaritmering av de numeriska data som ICES redovisar. Effekten kan ses i de b\u00e5da diagrammen. Man skulle ocks\u00e5 visuellt kunna visa att ett 10 cm l\u00e5ngt glas\u00e5lsyngel  \u00e4r mer \u00e4n h\u00e4lften s\u00e5 stort som en en meter (100 cm) l\u00e5ng tv\u00e5kilos\u00e5l om man logaritmerar l\u00e4ngden och l\u00e4gger in den i SLU:s figur! H\u00e4r kan man s\u00e4ga att det gamla ordspr\u00e5ket f\u00e5tt en betydelse: <em>&#8221;Det finns tre sorters l\u00f6gner: l\u00f6gn, f\u00f6rbannad l\u00f6gn och statistik.<\/em>&#8221; Titta p\u00e5 nedanst\u00e5ende figur och bed\u00f6m sj\u00e4lva om ICES eller SLU b\u00e4st visar den verkliga storleken. SLU:s redovisning \u00e4r inte fel men den \u00e4r bedr\u00e4glig f\u00f6r dem som inte \u00e4r insatta i logaritmeringens effekter. SLU:s slutsats att de logaritmerade, f\u00f6rstorade positiva effekterna skulle vara en effekt av insatta \u00e5tg\u00e4rder bed\u00f6mer Naturnytt som direkt felaktiga. \u00c4ven i detta h\u00e4nseende \u00e4r ICES utv\u00e4rdering mer relevant.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"812\" height=\"803\" src=\"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/Allangd-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-10197\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/Allangd-2.jpg 812w, https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/Allangd-2-300x297.jpg 300w, https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/12\/Allangd-2-768x759.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 812px) 100vw, 812px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c4ven om \u00f6kningen \u00e4r minimal och man m\u00e5ste tillgripa logaritmeringens f\u00f6rstorningsglas f\u00f6r att se den, \u00e4r den \u00e4nd\u00e5 gl\u00e4djande. Ca 10 000 dammar stoppar i dag glas\u00e5lens vandring till sina uppv\u00e4xtomr\u00e5den. \u00d6ver 2000 kraftverk har turbiner som skadar den utvandrande silver\u00e5len p\u00e5 sin lekvandring till Sargassohavet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hertingprojektet visar att vi kan l\u00f6sa b\u00e5de glas\u00e5lens uppvandring och silver\u00e5lens utvandring. 10 miljarder har nu avsatts f\u00f6r att g\u00f6ra vattenkraften milj\u00f6v\u00e4nlig, s\u00e5 visst finns det hopp \u00e4ven f\u00f6r den akut hotade \u00e5len.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"498\" height=\"1024\" src=\"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/P2800449-498x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-7715\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/P2800449-498x1024.jpg 498w, https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/P2800449-146x300.jpg 146w, https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/P2800449-768x1580.jpg 768w, https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/07\/P2800449.jpg 972w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 498px) 100vw, 498px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2019-12-17 P\u00e5 senaste tiden f\u00f6rekommer rapporter om att \u00e5len \u00f6kar och det \u00e4r ju gl\u00e4djande. Men hur st\u00e5r det till med \u00e5len egentligen? Uppskattningar \u00e4r sv\u00e5ra eftersom \u00e5len \u00e4r spridd i hela Europa och leker i Sargassohavet. ICES (International Council for the Exploration of the Sea) \u00e4r en internationell organisation med \u00f6ver 4000 vetenskapsm\u00e4n som &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/?p=8689\" class=\"more-link\">Forts\u00e4tt l\u00e4sa <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">\u00d6kar eller minskar v\u00e5r Europeiska \u00e5l?<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7867,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8689","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-naturnytt"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8689","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8689"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8689\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10204,"href":"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8689\/revisions\/10204"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/7867"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8689"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8689"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ingemar.alenas.se\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8689"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}